据油价网5月21日消息称，据阿布扎比国家石油公司(ADNOC)首席执行官Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber称，石油需求已经增加到9500万桶/天，市场正在重新平衡。

ADNOC几乎所有的石油都来自于欧佩克最大的产油国之一——阿联酋。

在哥伦比亚全球能源峰会上，Al Jaber还指出，自2015-2016年油价暴跌和行业低迷以来，石油和天然气的投资在过去五年中有所下降，公司坚持资本纪律。

在最新的《石油市场月度报告》中，欧佩克预计今年第二季全球石油需求为每日9479万桶，此前该组织将预估较4月预估下调30万桶，因北美第一季需求低于预期，且新冠肺炎疫情在印度和巴西卷土重来。

然而，该组织将2021年第三季度和第四季度的石油需求预期分别提高了15万桶/天和29万桶/天。欧佩克最新报告称，预计第三季度需求平均为9790万桶/日，第四季度需求将进一步增至9974万桶/日。欧佩克表示，今年下半年需求增加的原因是美国提供了积极的燃料数据，而"许多地区的疫苗接种计划加速，让人感到乐观。"

总体而言，OPEC乐观地认为，与2020年相比，疫苗接种计划的加速和燃料需求的上升将使2021年全球平均石油需求增加595万桶/天。

本周早些时候，俄罗斯副总理亚Alexander Novak表示，目前石油市场相当平衡，需求略微超过供应。

国际能源署（IEA）在5月份的报告中表示，去年过剩的石油库存已基本耗尽，今年下半年需求的强劲反弹可能导致库存进一步减少。尽管2021年上半年石油需求低于预期，但仍对全球石油需求保持乐观预测。

曹海斌 摘译自 油价网

原文如下：

UAE: Oil Demand Has Already Increased To 95 Million Bpd

Oil demand has already increased to 95 million barrels per day (bpd), and the market is rebalancing, according to the chief executive of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber.

ADNOC pumps nearly all the oil in one of OPEC’s largest producers, the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

Speaking at the virtual Columbia Global Energy Summit, Al Jaber also noted—as carried by Reuters—that investments in oil and gas had declined in the past five years with companies sticking to capital discipline since the previous oil price crash and industry downturn in 2015-2016.

In its latest Monthly Oil Market Report, OPEC sees global oil demand at 94.79 million bpd in the second quarter this year, after revising down estimates by 300,000 bpd compared to its April estimate, due to lower-than-expected demand in North America in the first quarter and the COVID resurgence in India and Brazil.

However, the organization raised its outlook for oil demand for both the third and fourth quarters of 2021 by 150,000 bpd and 290,000 bpd, respectively. Third-quarter demand is expected to average 97.90 million bpd, and fourth-quarter demand is set to further rise to 99.74 million bpd, OPEC’s latest report said. The higher anticipated demand in the second half of this year is the result of positive fuel data from the United States, while “the acceleration in vaccination programs in many regions allows for optimism,” OPEC said.

As a whole, OPEC is optimistic that accelerating vaccination programs and rising fuel demand will raise average global oil demand by 5.95 million bpd in 2021 compared to 2020.

Earlier this week, Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said that the oil market is fairly balanced at present, with demand slightly exceeding supply.

The excess oil inventories of the past year have been all but depleted, and a strong demand rebound in the second half this year could lead to even steeper stock draws, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its report for May, keeping an upbeat forecast of global oil demand despite the weaker-than-expected first half of 2021.

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