据6月30日FX Empire报道，欧佩克联合技术委员会(Joint Technical Committee)认为，在不同的石油市场供需情况下，到2022年底，原油将处于过剩状态。

按照欧佩克6月月度报告中的全球石油需求增长假设，非欧佩克国家供应增长，预计经合组织的石油库存将分别低于2015-2019年第三季度和2021年第四季度的平均水平9600万桶和1.25亿桶。到2022年，石油产量将显著增加，到年底将达到1.81亿桶。

王佳晶 摘译自 FX Empire

原文如下：

OPEC+ Panel Sees Risk of Oil Market Imbalance After April 2022

The panel, known as the Joint Technical Committee, sees an overhang of crude by the end of 2022 under different scenarios looking at supply and demand in the oil market, the report showed.

Under a base scenario, OECD oil stocks would stand at 96 million barrels and 125 million barrels below the 2015-2019 average for the third and fourth quarters of 2021, respectively, the report said.

“In 2022, a significant increase is seen, leading to an overhang of 181 million barrels by the end of the year,” the report added.

The base case adopts global oil demand growth assumptions and non-OPEC supply growth from OPEC’s June monthly report, with a preliminary forecast for 2022.

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