据6月28日Rigzone消息：油价稳定在2018年以来的最高水平附近，本周的欧佩克+会议预计将带来供应增长，而供应增长将赶不上全球需求复苏的步伐。

　　上周五上涨1%后，纽约期货交易价格接近每桶74美元。继今年油价上涨50%后，欧佩克及其盟友将于周四举行会议。彭博社的一项调查显示，产油国可能决定在8月份将日产量提高55万桶，但这仅相当于欧佩克+预计的本月全球供应赤字的四分之一。

　　随着美国、欧洲等主要能源市场从疫情中迅速反弹，导致流动性增加，交通燃料消费增加，油价今年出现反弹。经济复苏也消耗了过剩的库存，国际能源署(IEA)敦促欧佩克+恢复更多供应，以保持市场平衡。

　　价格

　　伦敦时间上午10点19分，西德克萨斯中质原油8月交货价格小幅上涨2美分，至每桶74.07美元。

　　早些时候，期货价格上涨0.5%，至74.45美元，为2018年10月以来的最高水平。

　　8月份交割的布伦特原油价格下跌2美分，至每桶76.16美元。

　　石油市场的结构继续表明供应趋紧。8月布伦特原油期货价格比9月高出84美分，这是一种被称为现货溢价的看涨结构。

　　与此同时，在疫情期间积累起来的海上原油储备继续减少。根据Vortexa的数据，上周库存下降了17%，为2020年初以来的最低水平。

　　冯娟 摘译自 Rigzone

　　原文如下：

　　Oil Steady as OPEC+ Hike Expected to Lag Behind Demand

　　Oil held steady near the highest level since 2018, with an OPEC+ meeting this week expected to bring supply increases that won’t keep pace with the global demand recovery.

　　Futures in New York traded near $74 a barrel after rising 1% on Friday. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies will meet Thursday following a 50% gain in prices this year. Producers may decide to boost output by 550,000 barrels a day in August, a Bloomberg survey shows, but that’s barely a quarter of the global deficit that OPEC+ anticipates during the month.

　　“Crude oil trades steady, with market participants expecting OPEC+ will keep supplies tight enough to support current levels,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S. “With virus uncertainties due to the highly contagious delta strain and questions about an Iran nuclear deal hanging over the market, the group may opt for caution,” hence current price strength.

　　Oil has rallied this year as a rapid rebound from Covid-19 in major energy markets such as the U.S., Europe has led to increased mobility and greater consumption of transport fuels. The recovery has also drained bloated stockpiles, and the International Energy Agency has urged OPEC+ to return more supply to keep markets balanced.

　　Prices

　　West Texas Intermediate for August delivery edged up 2 cents to $74.07 a barrel at 10:19 a.m. London time.

　　Earlier, futures rose as much as 0.5% to $74.45, the highest since October 2018.

　　Brent for August settlement lost 2 cents to $76.16 a barrel.

　　The oil market’s structure continues to indicate tighter supply. Brent futures for August are 84 cents more expensive than those for September, a bullish structure known as backwardation.

　　All the while, the glut of crude stored at sea which built up during the pandemic continues to shrink. The stockpile fell 17% last week, according to Vortexa data, the lowest since early 2020.

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