据8月11日Oil monster消息：尽管COVID-19病例激增，但有迹象表明美国燃料需求上升，周二油价从最近的下跌中反弹，涨幅超过2%。

　　布伦特原油价格上涨1.59美元，涨幅2.3%，收于每桶70.63美元，美国原油上涨1.81美元，涨幅2.7%，收于每桶68.29美元。

　　由于全球主要石油消费国的感染人数激增，这两项合约周一均下跌约2.5%，上周创下数月来最大跌幅。

　　冠状病毒Delta变种的迅速传播使美国的病例和住院人数达到六个月来的最高水平。

　　尽管如此，美国能源信息署(EIA)在月度预测中表示，到目前为止，美国就业增长和流动性的增加已经推动了2021年的汽油消费。

　　预计2021年美国汽油消费量平均为880万桶/天，高于2020年的800万桶/天。尽管如此，EIA表示，由于在家工作的人越来越多，美国的汽油消费量在2022年之前仍将低于2019年的水平。

　　路透初步调查显示，美国原油、汽油和其他成品油库存上周可能有所下降，预计汽油库存将连续第四周下降。

　　据两位市场消息人士援引美国石油协会的数据称，截至8月6日的一周，原油库存减少了81.6万桶。

　　政府库存数据将于美国东部时间周三上午10:30公布。

　　美国参议院周二通过了1万亿美元的基础设施一揽子计划，这可能是美国几十年来在道路、桥梁、机场和水路方面的最大投资。分析师表示，如果该法案获得通过，将提振经济和对石油产品的需求。

　　西方国家成功的疫苗接种计划和令人鼓舞的经济数据与东方国家不断上升的感染率形成鲜明对比。

　　冯娟 摘译自 oil monster

　　原文如下：

　　Oil Up More Than 2%, Boosted by Forecast for U.S. Fuel Demand

　　Oil prices rose more than 2% on Tuesday, rebounding from recent losses on signs of rising fuel demand in the United States despite a surge in COVID-19 cases.

　　Brent crude rose $1.59, or 2.3%, to settle at $70.63 a barrel and U.S. oil climbed $1.81, or 2.7%, to end the session at $68.29 a barrel.

　　Both contracts dropped around 2.5% on Monday, and last week notched their biggest losses in months as infections surged in major global oil consumers.

　　"Predicting short-term price swings has become extremely difficult given the arduous process of predicting the impact of the Delta variant on forward global oil demand, particularly in countries ," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch and Associates LLC in Galena, Illinois.

　　The rapid spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus has pushed cases and hospitalizations in the United States to a six-month high.

　　Still, U.S. job growth and increasing mobility have boosted gasoline consumption so far in 2021, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in a monthly forecast.

　　U.S. gasoline consumption is expected to average 8.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2021, up from 8 million bpd in 2020. Still, the EIA said U.S. gasoline consumption will remain below 2019 levels through 2022 due to the proliferation of people working from home.

　　U.S. crude, gasoline, and other product inventories are likely to have dropped last week, with gasoline stocks forecast to fall for a fourth consecutive week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed.

　　Crude stocks fell by 816,000 barrels for the week ended Aug. 6, according to two market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

　　Government data on inventories are due at 10:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday.

　　The U.S. Senate on Tuesday passed a $1 trillion infrastructure package that could serve as the nation's biggest investment in decades in roads, bridges, airports and waterways. If enacted, the bill would boost the economy and demand for oil products, analysts said.

　　Successful vaccination programmes in the West and encouraging economic data come in sharp contrast to rising infections in the East.

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