据能源经济12月27日消息称，评级机构ICRA表示，在需求健康和项目成本经济有利的背景下，天然气行业未来一年的增长前景正在好转。

由于疫情影响，国内天然气消费量在 2020年-2021年略有放缓，现在预计本财政年度将增长 9%-11%。

这种增长将受到需求复苏、放松封锁措施、城市天然气分销(CGD)实体增加承购、管道网络扩张、新的液化天然气终端和新化肥厂投产的推动。

ICRA在一份声明中称:“此外，尽管天然气价格上涨，但与替代燃料相比，CNG和PNG(国内)的成本经济仍对其有利，尽管工业燃料的竞争强度更高。”

此外，石油和天然气上游行业也受益于需求的增长，原油价格在当前财年触及多年高点，这为公司带来了健康的盈利能力和现金流。

由于需求增加以及欧佩克+逐步增加的产量和供应，预计油价在中期内仍将保持高位，这将继续支持上游油气公司的收入和盈利能力。

朱佳妮 摘译自 能源经济

原文如下：

Healthy growth expected for natural gas sector in India in 2022

The growth prospects for the natural gas industry are looking up in the coming year on the back of healthy demand and favourable cost economics of projects, rating agency ICRA said.

Domestic gas consumption, which had witnessing a slight moderation in 2020-21 due to the Covid-19 pandemic, is now expected to grow by 9-11 per cent in the current fiscal.

This growth would be driven by demand revival, post easing of lockdown measures, increasing offtake by City Gas Distribution (CGD) entities, expansion in pipeline network, new LNG terminals and commissioning of new fertiliser plants.

"Further, despite the increase in gas prices, the cost economics remain favourable for CNG and PNG (domestic) compared to alternate fuels, although the competitive intensity is higher in case of industrial fuels," ICRA said in a statement.

Also, the upstream oil and gas industry has benefitted from increasing demand and crude oil prices touching multi-year highs in the current fiscal which translated into healthy profitability and cash flow generation for companies.

Oil prices are expected to remain elevated in the medium term owing to increasing demand and graded increments in the production and supply by OPEC+ which will continue to support the revenues and profitability of the upstream oil and gas companies.

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