据1月19日Market Watch报道，由于对疫情的免疫率不断提高，以及最近的奥密克戎危机没有被证明足够严重到需要恢复严格的封锁措施，今年全球石油需求将超过疫情前水平。

IEA在其月度石油市场报告中，将未来一年石油需求增长预测提高了20万桶/天，达到330万桶/天。这个总部设在巴黎的机构还将2021年需求增长预测上调了20万桶/天，达到550万桶/天。

IEA乐观的预测是有迹象可循的，最近奥密克戎传播速度更快了，但致命性更低，提高了全球经济对病毒的抵御能力，这让各国继续走逐步减少封锁限制的道路。

IEA表示，"新冠肺炎病例在全球范围内呈爆炸性增长，但各国政府为控制疫情所采取的措施没有疫情爆发早期那么严重，它们对经济活动和石油需求的影响仍然相对较小。

王佳晶 摘译自 Market Watch

原文如下：

IEA sees global oil demand topping pre-pandemic levels in 2022

Global oil demand will exceed pre-pandemic levels this year thanks to growing Covid-19 immunization rates and as recent virus waves haven’t proved severe enough to warrant a return to strict lockdown measures, the International Energy Agency said Wednesday.

In its monthly oil market report, the IEA hiked its oil demand growth forecast for the coming year by 200,000 barrels a day, to 3.3 million barrels a day. The Paris-based agency also raised its demand growth forecasts for 2021 by 200,000 barrels a day to 5.5 million barrels a day.

Factoring in the IEA’s more optimistic forecasts are signs that recent coronavirus variants have been faster spreading but less fatal, helping boost global economic resilience to the virus, and allowing states to continue on a path of gradually winding down lockdown restrictions.

“The number of Covid cases is exploding world-wide but measures taken by governments to contain the virus are less severe than during earlier waves and their impact on economic activity and oil demand remain relatively subdued,” the IEA said.

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