据1月24日FXstreet报道，路透社最新民意调查显示，海湾合作委员会（Gulf Cooperation Council）六个成员国的经济将以几年来最快的速度增长。

调查结果还提到10位经济学家中有9位表示，油价下跌和新疫情毒株，是今年海湾合作委员会经济增长的最大威胁。

沙特阿拉伯预计将以5.7%的经济增长率位居榜首，其次是科威特和阿联酋，分别为5.3%和4.8%。

2022年卡塔尔、阿曼和巴林的经济增长预计平均在3%-4%之间。如果可以实现的话，这将是这些国家几年来所见证的最好成绩。

十个受访者中有八位表示，增长预期面临的风险更偏向下行。

值得一提的是，油价保持坚挺，加上近期围绕俄罗斯和乌克兰的地缘政治担忧，也支撑了西得克萨斯中质原油价格在周一欧洲会议前上涨逾1.0%。

王佳晶 摘译自 FXstreet

原文如下：

Gulf economies to grow faster in 2022, oil price fall biggest threat – Reuters poll

“The economies in the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council will grow at their fastest pace in several years,” per the latest Reuters poll.

The survey results also mentioned, “Nine of 10 economists who answered an additional question said a decline in oil prices and new coronavirus variants were the biggest threats to GCC economic growth this year.”

Key quotes

Saudi Arabia was predicted to top the list with growth of 5.7%, followed by Kuwait and UAE with 5.3% and 4.8% respectively.

Economic growth in Qatar, Oman and Bahrain was expected to average between 3%-4% for 2022. If realised, that would be the best these countries have witnessed in several years.

Eight of ten respondents said risks to their growth forecasts were skewed more to the downside.

Oil prices remain firmer…

The hawkish outlook for energy prices joins the recent geopolitical concerns surrounding Russia and Ukraine to also underpin WTI crude oil prices to gain over 1.0% by the press time of the pre-European session on Monday.

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