据世界石油2月15日消息称，数据分析公司GlobalData表示，上游行业预计将在未来四年内主导英国的新项目数量，占预计在此期间启动的项目总数的70%以上。

GlobalData的报告《到2026年欧洲石油和天然气项目展望——所有新建和扩建项目的发展阶段、产能、资本支出和承包商细节》显示，预计将有105个项目在英国开始运营。其中，上游(油田)项目数量最多，为77个，中游项目22个，炼油和石化项目分别为4个和2个。

GlobalData 石油和天然气分析师 Teja Pappoppula 表示：“在英国，只有上游（油田）行业仍有巨大的发展空间。北海浅水区继续为投资者提供重要的机会，并且是该国即将到来的油气生产项目的重点领域。尽管 2020 年因新冠疫情而放缓，但英国北海仍在计划几个新项目，并有可能部分抵消该国的产量下降。”

在英国即将投产的项目中，Rose Bank是一个关键项目，总产能为12.1万桶油当量/天。该项目位于设得兰群岛西部的深水区，将开发大量未开发的石油和天然气资源，并为英国的能源安全做出贡献。

Pappoppula表示:“英国大部分即将投产的项目仍处于可行性或前端工程设计(FEED)阶段。英国近期的油气产量前景取决于这些项目的成功实施，因为一些现有的成熟油田的产量随着其寿命的结束而持续下降。因此，如果即将到来的项目也不成功，那么产量将进一步下降。”

曹海斌 摘译自 世界石油

原文如下：

Globaldata: Upstream sector dominates UK oil and gas projects starts by 2026

The upstream sector is forecasted to dominate the upcoming projects count in the UK during the next four years, accounting for more than 70% of the total projects starts anticipated during that time, says GlobalData, a data and analytics company.

GlobalData’s report, ‘Europe Oil and Gas Projects Outlook to 2026 - Development Stage, Capacity, Capex and Contractor Details of All New Build and Expansion Projects,’ reveals that 105 projects are expected to commence operations in the UK. Out of these, upstream (fields) projects would be the highest with 77, midstream with 22, with refinery and petrochemicals at four and two, respectively.

“In the UK, only the upstream (fields) sector continues to offer significant scope for development,” said Teja Pappoppula, Oil & Gas Analyst at GlobalData. “Shallow waters of the North Sea continue to provide significant opportunities to investors and is the focal area for upcoming oil and gas production projects in the country. Despite the COVID-induced slowdown in 2020, several new projects are being planned in the UK North Sea and have the potential to partially offset production declines in the country.”

Among the upcoming production projects in the UK, Rose Bank is a key project with a total production capacity of 121 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day. Proposed in deep waters of West of Shetland, the project would unlock significant underdeveloped oil and gas resources and contribute to the UK energy security.

“The majority of the upcoming production projects in the UK are still in feasibility or Front End Engineering Design (FEED) stages,” Pappoppula said. “The near-term oil and gas production outlook in the UK is dependent on the successful execution of these projects, as production from several existing matured fields continues to decline due to reaching their end-of-life cycle. As a result, if upcoming projects are also unsuccessful then production will decline further.”