据中东油气3月3日消息称，天然气出口国论坛(GECF)在周一发布的一份报告中称，全球天然气需求将从2020年的3.84万亿立方米增长到2050年的5.625万亿立方米，增幅为46%。

这份题为《2050年全球天然气展望》的报告还发现，亚太地区、中东和非洲将是这一增长的最大来源。在亚太地区，GECF预计消费量将增加近一倍。

“GECF的《2050年全球天然气展望》强调，天然气投资对全球能源系统的稳定性至关重要。该公司预计，到2050年，上游和中游的总投资将达到8.7万亿美元。”

越来越多的国家和公司将天然气作为石油的清洁替代能源，同时呼吁可持续发展。GECF表示，天然气在全球能源结构中的份额将从现在的23%增加到2050年的27%。

“环境政策是展望中预测的关键驱动因素。在这种背景下，在坚持天然气是最清洁的碳氢化合物燃料的同时，展望将探索使其更清洁的技术状态。”Hamel补充道。

该报告称，中东地区将在未来天然气供应中发挥重要作用，占全球天然气供应增量的32%。

氢气也被认为是未来的燃料，中东国家对该技术下了很大的赌注。天然气可以用来制造氢的一种形式——蓝氢，而GECF预计，在其氢方案中，几乎46%的氢生产将来自蓝氢。

曹海斌 摘译自 中东油气

原文如下：

Natural gas demand will increase 46% in 2050, GECF says in new report

Global natural gas demand will rise by 46% from 3,840 billion cubic metres (bcm) in 2020 to 5,625 bcm in 2050, the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) said in a report released Monday.

The report, titled Global Gas Outlook 2050, also found that the Asia Pacific region, Middle East, and Africa would responsible for the biggest source of this growth. In the Asia Pacific region, GECF expects consumption to almost double.

“The GECF Global Gas Outlook 2050 underscores that investment in natural gas is critical for the stability of global energy systems. It projects that by 2050, total upstream and midstream investments will reach a hefty $8.7 trillion,”

Countries and companies have increasingly been turning to natural gas for energy as a cleaner alternative to oil and call while calls for sustainability increase. GECF says that natural gas’s share of the global energy mix will increase from over 23% now to 27% in 2050.

“Environmental policies are a key driver of the projections contained in the outlook. In this context, whilst upholding that natural gas is the cleanest of hydrocarbon fuels, the outlook explores the state of technologies that will make it even cleaner,” Hamel added.

The Middle East will play an important role in providing the gas of the future, delivering 32% of the global gas supply increase, according to the report.

Hydrogen has also been touted as a future fuel, with countries in the Middle East placing big bets on the technology. Natural gas can be used to create one form of hydrogen – blue hydrogen – and the GECF expects that in its hydrogen scenario, almost 46% of total hydrogen production will be sourced from blue hydrogen.