据今日油价网4月20日报道，摩根大通预计，到2030年，全球能源需求将继续增长，这将需要在包括石油和天然气在内的各种能源领域追加投资1.3万亿美元，以避免能源供应短缺。

据路透社报道，摩根大通策略师Marko Kolanovic和chrisstyan Malek在该行首份年度能源展望中表示：“我们的主要发现是，根据目前的趋势，到2030年，能源需求增长将超过供应增长约20%，主要是受新兴经济体及其发展和使其人民脱贫努力的推动。” 

根据这家美国投资银行的预测，到20年代末，全球石油需求将增长10%，而天然气需求预计将大增18%。

因此，摩根大通指出，能源投资应该包括所有形式的能源，包括石油和天然气、核能和可再生能源。

摩根大通分析师在展望中写道：“在可扩展、可靠、清洁和负担得起的技术出现之前，世界将需要应对现有所有能源——化石能源和非化石能源——以及它们各自的缺点。”

这家银行的战略家还指出，并非所有的燃料都是可互换的——例如，太阳能电池板在石化生产中不能取代原油。

包括国际能源署（IEA）在内的一些分析人士和组织表示，如果要在2050年前实现净零目标，可再生能源每年需要的投资将远远超过目前全球的投资。

国际能源署执行主任Fatih Birol去年年底表示，如果世界要实现《巴黎协定》的目标，在低碳能源方面的投资需要增加两倍。

季廷伟 摘译自 今日油价网

原文如下：

JPMorgan: World Urgently Needs Extra $1.3 Trillion Energy Investment

Global energy demand will continue rising by 2030, which will necessitate an additional $1.3 trillion in investments in all forms of energy, including oil and gas, to avoid a shortage of energy supply, according to JP Morgan.

“Our main finding is that by 2030, energy demand growth will exceed supply growth by circa 20% based on current trends, primarily driven by emerging economies and their efforts to develop and lift their citizens out of poverty,” JP Morgan’s strategists Marko Kolanovic and Christyan Malek said in the bank’s first annual energy outlook, as carried by Reuters.

Global oil demand is set to grow by 10 percent by the end of this decade, while demand for natural gas is expected to jump by 18 percent, according to the U.S. investment bank.

Energy investment, therefore, should include all forms of energy, including oil and gas, nuclear power, and renewables, JP Morgan notes.

“Until scalable, reliable, clean and affordable technologies are available, the world will need to work with all of the current sources of energy - fossil and non-fossil - and their respective drawbacks,” JP Morgan analysts wrote in the outlook.

The bank’s strategists also note that not all fuels are interchangeable—for example, solar panels cannot replace crude oil in petrochemicals production. 

Moreover, renewable energy sources will need much more investment per year than the world is investing now if net-zero by 2050 targets are to be met, analysts and organizations, including the International Energy Agency (IEA), say.

Investments in low-carbon energy need to triple if the world is to meet its Paris Agreement targets, the IEA’s Executive Director Fatih Birol said at the end of last year.