据油价网 5月26日报道，欧佩克+组织的六名消息人士周四对路透社表示，预计该组织下周在决定7月产量水平时，将批准石油产量每月适度增长。

自去年决定逐步恢复市场供应以来，由沙特阿拉伯等领导的欧佩克+没有改变路线，并每月将产量提高约40万桶/天，直到解除2020年4月全球疫情封锁高峰期间宣布的所有1000万桶/天的减产。

欧佩克一直坚持适度增产，即便是在油价因其关键成员国发生地缘政治冲突而飙升至每桶100美元之后。该组织说，它认为市场是一个平衡的市场，价格飙升是“地缘政治局势”的结果。

5月初，欧佩克+同意维持其生产计划不变，目标是在6月将原油产量提高43.2万桶/天，此举被市场普遍预期。这是自地缘政治冲突发生以来的第三次欧佩克+会议。连续第三个月，欧佩克在又一次创纪录的短时间会议上的新闻稿中写道：“人们注意到，持续的石油市场基本面和对前景的共识指向一个平衡的市场。”

该联盟拒绝了主要石油进口国要求采取更多措施降低高油价的呼吁。

沙特外交大臣本周在达沃斯谈到了增加供应的呼吁，他说：“这比把桶运到市场要复杂得多。”

他补充说：“我们的评估是，目前的石油供应实际上是相对平衡的。”

一位消息人士在谈到即将于6月2日举行的会议时告诉路透社：“为什么要改变完美的做法?”

该消息人士补充说：“我们将宣布，我们将增加43.2万桶/天的产量，即使我们不再有能力这么做。”

虽然欧佩克+坚持其每月适度增产的政策，但许多成员国并未按配额生产，该组织的总产量估计为每日低于配额约250万桶。

季廷伟 摘译自 油价网

原文如下：

OPEC+ Unlikely To Boost Oil Production More Than Planned

The OPEC+ group is expected to rubberstamp next week its moderate monthly increases in oil production when it decides output levels for July, six sources at OPEC+ told Reuters on Thursday.

OPEC+, led by Saudi Arabia, has not changed course since it decided last year to gradually return supply to the market, and raise production by around 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) every month until it unwinds all the 10 million bpd cuts announced in April 2020 at the peak COVID lockdowns globally. 

The alliance has been sticking to modest production rises even after oil prices spiked to more than $100 per barrel after a key member of the pact. The group says that it sees the market as a balanced one, and price surges are the result of the “geopolitical situation.”

In early May, OPEC+ agreed to leave its production plan unchanged, aiming to boost crude oil production in June by 432,000 bpd, in a move widely expected by the market. This was the third OPEC+ meeting since the war. For a third consecutive month, OPEC’s press release on another record short meeting read that “it was noted that continuing oil market fundamentals and the consensus on the outlook pointed to a balanced market.”

The alliance has resisted calls from major oil importers to do more to lower the high oil prices.

Commenting on the calls to boost supply more than planned, Saudi Foreign Minister,  said in Davos this week that “It’s much more complex than just bringing barrels to the market.”

“Our assessment is that actually oil supply right now is relatively in balance,” the minister added, as carried by Bloomberg. 

Commenting on the upcoming meeting on June 2, one source told Reuters: “Why change what works perfectly?”

“We will announce that we are going to increase our production by 432,000 bpd even if we are no longer able to do so,” the source added.

While OPEC+ is sticking to its policy of modest monthly increases, many of its members are not pumping to their quotas and the group overall is estimated to be around 2.5 million bpd below its quota.