据油价网7月1日报道，Kpler的Sweet Crude Analysis负责人史密斯告诉雅虎财经，原油价格应该保持在三位数。  

史密斯表示，石油不会有持续的下行压力。

“我不认为我们会看到油价持续下跌的压力。我认为，过去几周我们在石油市场看到的是抛售，因为石油已经被更广泛的市场情绪所席卷，就像我们看到的股票等抛售一样。这是一个风险偏好的问题。”史密斯告诉雅虎财经。

相反，史密斯认为原油价格受到欧佩克的支持，因为尽管他们表示继续向市场投放更多石油，但未能促进出口。事实上，正如史密斯指出的那样，我们已经看到沙特阿拉伯的出口在最近几个月有所下降。

因此，尽管欧佩克表示他们正在生产更多的石油，“我们并没有看到这些石油真正进入市场。我们没有看到这些出口的增长。”

史密斯还指出，大国的原油产量预计将在今年年底前下降，这为油价上涨提供了支撑。

“这在很大程度上是供应方面的情况，油价应该会保持在三位数以上?！?/p>

在美国的长周末来临之前，周五原油价格上涨，WTI原油当日上涨2.73%至108.70美元。美国高企的原油和汽油价格给政府带来了麻烦，政府提出了许多降低原油和汽油价格的策略，但至今无济于事。

美国平均每加仑汽油比上个月上涨0.171美元，比一年前每加仑上涨1.719美元。

黎泱 编译自 油价网

原文如下：

Oil Should Stay In Triple Digits: Analyst

Crude oil prices should stay in the triple digits, Kpler’s head of Sweet Crude Analysis Matt Smith told Yahoo Finance.  

There won’t be a continued downward pressure on oil, according to Smith.

“I don’t think that we’re going to see continued downward pressure on oil. I think what we’re seeing in the last couple of weeks in the oil market is this selloff as oil has got swept up in broader market sentiment as we’ve seen a selloff in equities, etc. It’s a risk appetite thing,” Smith told Yahoo Finance.

Instead, Smith sees crude oil prices supported by OPEC, because while they are saying they continue to put more oil onto the market, they are failing to boost their exports. In fact, as Smith points out, we’ve seen Saudi Arabia’s exports drop in recent months.

So while OPEC is saying they are producing more, “We’re not seeing those barrels actually hitting the market. We’re not seeing an increase in terms of those exports.”

Smith also points to forecasts of lower crude oil production out of the big producer by the end of the year—a support for higher oil prices.  

“This is very much a supply-side story, and we should remain above triple digits here.”

Crude oil prices were rallying on Friday ahead of the long weekend in the United States, with WTI crude up 2.73% on the day at $108.70. The high crude oil and gasoline prices in the United States pose a problem for the Administration, which has proposed numerous strategies for lowering crude oil and gasoline prices--so far to no avail.

The average gallon of gasoline in the United States is still up $.171 over the last month, and up $1.719 per gallon from a year ago.