据油价网8月8日报道，Energy Aspects的Amrita Sen周一告诉彭博监测，虽然短期内石油和天然气价格可能会继续走低，但到冬季到来时，市场将变得异常紧张，每桶石油的价格应该会回到120美元左右。

据美国汽车协会称，周一美国全国平均每加仑汽油价格继续下跌，跌至4.059美元。 

与此同时，原油价格远低于每桶90美元。

Sen表示，由于即将进行的季节性炼油厂维护，她预计价格不会“突然上涨”。然而，到冬天来临时，特别是11月之后，她预计供应将变得“非常非常紧张”。 

11月1日，美国战略石油储备 （SPR） 的释放将停止。今年3月，美国政府下令每天从美国的紧急原油库存中释放100万桶原油，以降低天然气价格。根据美国能源部的数据，上周，SPR跌至近四十年来的最低水平。 

在停止SPR释放之后，欧盟将于12月1日实施对产能大国原油的禁运。 

“市场将很快收紧，”Sen告诉彭博社，“我们仍维持我们对每桶120美元的预测。”

黎泱 编译自 油价网

原文如下：

Analyst: Oil To Hit $120 Again By Winter

While oil and gas prices may continue to weaken in the near term, by the time winter sets in, the market is going to become extremely tight and the per-barrel price of oil should return to around $120, Energy Aspects’ Amrita Sen told Bloomberg Surveillance on Monday. 

The national average per gallon of gasoline in the United States continued to fall on Monday, dropping to $4.059, according to AAA. 

At the same time, crude oil prices are solidly below $90 per barrel. 

Sen said she is not expecting a “sudden increase” in prices due to upcoming seasonal refinery maintenance; however, by the time winter hits, and particularly after November, she expects supply to become “very, very tight”. 

On November 1st, releases from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) will halt. In March this year, the Administration ordered the release of 1 million barrels per day from the country’s emergency crude stockpile in a bid to lower gas prices. Last week, the SPR fell to its lowest level in nearly four decades, according to the U.S. Department of Energy data. 

The stoppage of the SPR releases will then be followed by the implementation on December 1st of the European Union’s embargo on the larger producer crude. 

“The market is going to tighten up very, very quickly,” Sen told Bloomberg. “We still maintain our forecast of $120 per barrel,” she added.