据油价网12月6日消息称，在通货膨胀、地缘政治危机和供应链不安全加剧了全球经济不确定性的一年里，中东见证了连续第二年的经济增长，该地区国家投资于新技术和项目，这可能预示着未来几年更大程度的区域一体化。

根据国际货币基金组织10月的预测，全球GDP增长预计将从2021年的6%放缓至2022年的3.2%，而持续的高油价将推动中东的GDP增长从2021年的4.1%升至2022年的5%。尽管预计到2023年，区域经济增速将放缓至3.6%，但仍超过了2.7%的全球预测数字。

海湾合作委员会的产油国是该地区今年表现最好的国家：科威特的GDP预计将在2022年增长8.7%，其次是沙特阿拉伯（7.6%）、阿联酋（5.1%）和阿曼（4.4%）。与此同时，在石油的支撑下，伊拉克的GDP增长了9.3%，埃及(6.6%)和阿尔及利亚(4.7%)继续在后疫情时代复苏。

石油收入带来的意外之财带来了更大的财政灵活性和外部平衡盈余，使海湾合作委员会成员国能够继续为其多样化努力提供资金，同时改善外交关系为加强区域和全球一体化提供了可能性。

曹海斌 摘译自 油价网

原文如下：

High Oil Prices Are Fueling Economic Growth In The Middle East

In a year of global economic uncertainty fuelled by inflation, geopolitical crises and supply chain insecurity, the Middle East witnessed a second consecutive year of economic growth, with countries in the region investing in new technologies and projects that could herald greater integration in the years ahead.

Whereas global GDP expansion is projected to slow from 6% in 2021 to 3.2% in 2022, sustained high oil prices are set to push GDP growth in the Middle East from 4.1% in 2021 to 5% in 2022, according to an October forecast from the IMF. Although regional economic expansion is slated to moderate somewhat to 3.6% in 2023, this nonetheless outpaces the projected global figure of 2.7%.

Oil-producing countries in the GCC were the region’s top performers this year: Kuwait’s GDP is expected to expand by 8.7% in 2022, followed by Saudi Arabia (7.6%), the UAE (5.1%) and Oman (4.4%). Iraq, meanwhile, saw GDP growth of 9.3% on the back of oil, while Egypt (6.6%) and Algeria (4.7%) continued their post-Covid-19-pandemic recoveries.

The windfall from oil revenue has generated more fiscal flexibility and external balance surpluses, allowing GCC members to continue to fund their diversification efforts, while improving diplomatic relations have opened the possibility for enhanced regional and global integration.