周一早上油价下跌，WTI价格跌破70美元，布伦特原油价格跌破74美元

即将召开的美联储会议让市场分析人士担心可能再次加息

高盛下调了对今年剩余时间原油价格的预期，显示出看跌情绪日益增强

据油价网6月12日报道，周一早盘，油价下跌，WTI价格跌破70美元，布伦特原油跌破74美元。

本周开始原油价格进一步下跌，WTI在亚洲午盘交易中跌破每桶70美元。

尽管有迹象表明美联储可能暂停加息，但由于市场交易员对美联储宣布再次加息的可能性持谨慎态度，这两个基准指数在今天早些时候的亚洲交易中都下跌了1%以上。

路透社在今天早些时候的一份报告中指出，大多数投资银行预计跌势会暂停。不过，该报告援引摩根士丹利一位分析师的话说，“我们仍然认为美国经济将实现软着陆，但如果经济增长不放缓，政策可能会进一步收紧，而且银行体系的资金压力使风险倾向于下行”。

美国银行全球研究部的Francisco Blanch在一份报告中称，油价陷入两股对立力量的冲突之中，一股是指向货币紧缩的看跌资产配置者，另一股是预计2023年下半年库存下降的看涨石油投机者。

与此同时，高盛下调了对今年剩余时间原油价格的预期。据英国《金融时报》报道，该银行目前预计布伦特原油价格将在2023年底低于每桶90美元，理由是预期需求疲软。

该银行表示，预计有些国家明年的供应量也将增加，日产量将增加80万桶。假如沙特决定将减产延长到明年，这将抵消沙特在上次欧佩克+会议上宣布的额外减产。

虽然减产规模为100万桶/日，但在沙特减产的同时，阿联酋获准将产量提高至多20万桶/日。在周末举行的国际峰会上，能源大臣萨勒曼表示，欧佩克+产量的最新调整是为了解决石油市场的“不确定性和不稳定情绪”。

寿琳玲 编译自 油价网

原文如下：

Oil Prices Under Pressure Ahead Of Fed Meeting

Oil prices were trading lower early on Monday morning, with WTI falling below $70 and Brent dropping below $74.

The upcoming meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve has analysts on edge about another potential interest rate hike.

In a sign of growing bearish sentiment, Goldman Sachs revised down its price outlook for crude oil for the rest of the year.

Crude oil prices began this week with by falling further, with West Texas Intermediate slipping below $70 in pre-noon trade in Asia.

Both benchmarks shed more than 1% in Asian trade earlier today as traders took a cautious approach to the possibility of the Federal Reserve announcing yet another rate hike, even though there were signals it may pause the hikes.

Most investment banks appear to expect a pause, Reuters noted in a report earlier today.  The report quoted, however, a Morgan Stanley analyst as saying that "We maintain our call for a soft landing in the U.S., but policy could tighten further if growth does not slow, and funding pressures in the banking system keep risks skewed to the downside."

"Oil prices are caught in a clash between two opposing forces, bearish asset allocators who point to monetary contraction and bullish oil speculators expecting lower inventories in 2H23," Francisco Blanch from Bank of America Global Research said in a note quoted by Reuters.

Goldman Sachs meanwhile revised down its price outlook for crude oil for the rest of the year. The bank now expects Brent crude to end 2023 at less than $90 per barrel, the Financial Times reported, citing expectations of weaker demand.

The bank cited expectations of higher supply from some certain countries for next year as well, with additional production of 800,000 bpd. That would offset the additional cuts Saudi Arabia announced at the last OPEC+ meeting, should the kingdom decide to extend these into next year.

The size of the cuts was 1 million bpd but while Saudi cuts, the UAE was given the green light to boost its output by up to 200,000 bpd. At an summit during the weekend, energy minister Abdulaziz bin Salman said the latest adjustments in OPEC+ production were an attempt to address "uncertainities and sentiment" in the oil market.