据阿纳多卢新闻8月11日消息称，国际能源署(IEA)周五发布的最新报告显示，欧佩克集团主要产油国沙特阿拉伯大幅减产，导致7月份全球石油日产量暴跌91万桶，至1.009亿桶。

本月早些时候，沙特阿拉伯表示，将把目前的100万桶/日减产计划延长至9月。该国最初在7月减产，并将减产延长至8月。

该机构表示，沙特阿拉伯7月减产92万桶，至906万桶。除了2020—2021年期间，沙特原油供应自2011年以来从未如此低。

根据IEA的数据，今年全球石油产量预计将增加150万桶/天，达到历史最高的1.015亿桶/天。

美国、巴西、圭亚那等非欧佩克+国家预计将增加190万桶/天的产量，占今年全球供应量的49%。

到2024年，全球石油消费增长预计将放缓至100万桶/日，总需求将达到1.03亿桶/日。

非欧佩克+国家明年将主导全球供应增长，增加130万桶/天，将其石油总产量的份额提高到49.6%。然而，欧佩克+的产量将录得16万桶/日的有限增长。

该机构预计，到2023年，全球石油需求将增加220万桶/日，达到1.022亿桶/日，其中中国占增长的70%以上。夏季航空旅行、发电用油的增加以及石化活动的激增，都推动了全球石油需求的增长。

IEA将其对2024年全球需求增长的预测下调了15万桶/日。预计到2024年，全球石油需求将增加100万桶/日，达到1.032亿桶/日。

曹海斌 译自 阿纳多卢新闻

原文如下：

Global oil supply in July sees sharp plummet: Int. Energy Agency

A sharp output reduction by the swing producer of the OPEC group, Saudi Arabia, drove the plunge in global oil production by 910,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 100.9 million bpd in July, according to a recent report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) on Friday.

Earlier this month, Saudi Arabia stated that it would extend its existing 1 million bpd output cutbacks through September. The country originally reduced output in July and extended it through August.

The agency said Saudi Arabia reduced output by 920,000 bpd in July to 9.06 million bpd. Except for the 2020–2021 COVID-19 period, Saudi crude supply has not been as low since 2011.

According to the IEA, global oil output is projected to expand by 1.5 million bpd to a record 101.5 million bpd this year.

Non-OPEC+ countries such as the US, Brazil,and Guyana are expected to drive gains of 1.9 million bpd, accounting for 49% of global supply this year.

In 2024, global oil consumption gains are forecast to slow to 1 million bpd, with overall demand reaching 103 million bpd.

Non-OPEC+ is set to dominate world supply growth next year, adding 1.3 million bpd, raising its share of total oil output to 49.6%. OPEC+ production, however, will record a limited increase of 160,000 bpd.

The agency projected that global oil demand will expand by 2.2 million bpd to 102.2 million bpd in 2023, with  accounting for more than 70% of this growth. Summer air travel, increasing oil use for electricity generation, and surging Chinese petrochemical activity all contribute to the increase in global oil demand.

The IEA revised down its global demand growth forecast for 2024 by 150,000 bpd. Global oil demand is now forecast to increase by 1 million bpd in 2024 to 103.2 million bpd.